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Jim Cook

 

RUNAWAY SOCIAL SYMPATHY

Every once in a while I switch the TV channel from Fox to CNBC to see what the liberals are saying.  After listening awhile I get a deep sense of hopelessness and foreboding for our country.  The most important thing for the left is giving money to people.  They are happy to see the growth of food stamps, disability payments, housing subsidies, free healthcare and all the other welfare benefits.  They utterly fail to see the damage it is doing to the recipients.  Whole cities that once flourished have deteriorated into rotting eyesores populated with shambling hulks of chemically dependent drones.  These people are no longer employable.  They have become incompetent and helpless and the liberals can’t see that it’s their doing.

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What Kind of Silver?

THE HUMBLE APPROACH

By James R. Cook

In 1982 a close friend passed away. He owned a company that sold energy saving products. His family came to me and asked if I’d buy the business from them. After a brief investigation, I paid them $200,000 for the company. After a year, I could see that my acquisition was going nowhere fast. The new company was losing money. I began to worry about the $500,000 inventory loan at the bank that we had assumed.

I put a two-inch ad in the business section of the newspaper offering the business for sale. Right away we had a nibble. Two young guys called and wanted a meeting. They both had newly minted MBAs and, apparently, one of them had just inherited a million dollars. As we discussed the company for sale, I could see they were overconfident and opinionated. Almost immediately they knew more than me. After a few days of investigating, they went for the deal. On the day of closing they gave me $200,000 and, best of all, they went to the bank and wrote out a check that paid off the loan. I was overjoyed.

We had a brief meeting and I gave them some advice on running their new company. They almost sneered in my face. They weren’t interested in learning anything from me. They assured me they knew exactly how to run things. I’d never seen two more arrogant, self-assured individuals. As they went out the door, I could tell they were giggling inside at my stupidity for selling them such a plum. Eleven months later they filed bankruptcy.

Their arrogant pride proved fatal to the business they bought. They failed because their egos were out of control. In fact, they probably never would have bought the business if they weren’t so cocksure. I cite this example to illustrate how easily a lack of humility can ruin you. C. S. Lewis wrote that pride was the greatest sin. Perhaps that’s true, but, without a doubt, pride is the greatest danger in your financial affairs.

We all have some degree of ego. Usually, success in life causes our pride to swell. Financial statements and egos often grow apace. However, too much self-importance inevitably meets with a painful leveling experience. Pride cometh before a fall. This certainly applies to investing where the humble approach works best. One dangerous aspect of a large ego is that the person who has it can’t recognize it in themselves. Only years later do they come to realize they once were overly prideful.

Futures trading in silver offers a classic example of pridefulness. It’s a known fact that 90% of amateurs or small traders lose money in futures. They are up against big trading firms, dealers and banks. Nevertheless, they keep trying. It can only be ego that makes them think they can outsmart the rest of the market. High leverage means they are up against the big boys, on a shoestring. That’s mighty egotistical. One West Coast firm had thousands of margin calls in the most recent silver downturn. Their clients lost a lot of money. Hopefully, they gained enough humility that they won’t try it again.

You are bordering on arrogance when you think you can beat the futures market. Furthermore, you have to be pretty egotistical to think you can pick a few junior silver stocks and hit a home run. The world is full of large egos who are trying to make a big score in stocks. Unfortunately, only one mining company in a hundred that has a silver claim will ever prove out. Other types of silver investments, such as SLV funds, undermine your patience. You think you’re smart enough to time your way to big profits, but premature selling will invariably limit your gains. These funds are too easy to sell, and a small gain inevitably proves too tempting.

Owning physical silver is a more modest, conservative and humble way to go. Fortunately, this humble approach offers the greatest opportunity for gains and the least risk. By purchasing actual physical silver, and taking it into your possession, you put yourself in the best position to capitalize on a rise in the silver price. By owning it outright, you are far more likely to continue holding for the time period necessary to maximize profits. Too much ego drives the other silver investments where so many investors think they can beat the odds or repeal human nature. Humility is your greatest asset in money making and pride your greatest enemy. Use the humble approach with silver and give yourself the best chance to prosper.